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Endurance training

Raises HDL modestly and lowers triglycerides, LDL and HOMA-IR. The HDL rise is not a treatment goal. There is no defensible percentage for fasting glucose, ApoB, ferritin or uric acid.

Big LeverEffort: high

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Order of magnitude

Around one hundred and fifty minutes per week at moderate intensity, spread across at least three sessions of more than thirty minutes each.

Moderate means: talking is still possible, singing is not. Kodama 2007 puts the floor at about 120 minutes per week. Smart 2025 found the lipid benefit mainly with aerobic and combined training, not resistance alone. Fasting glucose was not significant in Lin 2015 (p = 0.06). Intense training can raise urate acutely; there is no pooled size, so there is no offset row.

Effects in detail

Each row is a directed edge from our database, with range, latency, evidence grade and the condition under which it applies at all.

MarkerEffectLatencyMode of actionOutcomeEvidenceConditionSources
LDL cholesterolhelps. Lowers -7.22 mg/dL

confidence interval of the estimate, not the range one person can expect

Smart 2025 −7.22 mg/dL (95 % CI −9.08 to −5.35) at LDL 100 mg/dL. ApoB in Downes 2025 is not a credible magnitude, so there is no separate ApoB row. Trial proxy: ldl_c.

8–20 weekschronicunclear
Evidence grade A
applies regardless of the starting value
Triglycerideshelps. Lowers -8.01 mg/dL

confidence interval of the estimate, not the range one person can expect

Smart 2025 −8.01 mg/dL, Lin 2015 −5.31 mg/dL, at a 150 mg/dL baseline. At higher baselines the absolute fall is larger. Resistance training alone did not move triglycerides in Smart 2025.

4–12 weekschronicunclear
Evidence grade A
TG at or above 150 mg/dL
Apolipoprotein Bhelps. Lowers Direction known, size not established

A meta-analysis of 25 studies found apolipoprotein B fell significantly with exercise training, and lipoprotein(a) fell by 2.52 mg/dL. No effect size is entered because the abstract prints the apoB reduction as -0.11 mg/dL, which is implausibly small for that unit and is almost certainly g/L (about -11 mg/dL).

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade C
applies regardless of the starting value
Diastolic blood pressurehelps. Lowers -2.53 mmHg

one bound only: the source prints the pairwise reduction without an interval

A pairwise and network meta-analysis of 270 randomised trials in 15,827 participants gives aerobic training a resting blood pressure reduction of 4.49/2.53 mmHg (p<0.001). Point estimates only; the source reports the pairwise reductions without confidence intervals in the abstract, so a single bound is entered for each.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade A
applies regardless of the starting value
Systolic blood pressurehelps. Lowers -4.49 mmHg

one bound only: the source prints the pairwise reduction without an interval

A pairwise and network meta-analysis of 270 randomised trials in 15,827 participants gives aerobic training a resting blood pressure reduction of 4.49/2.53 mmHg (p<0.001). Point estimates only; the source reports the pairwise reductions without confidence intervals in the abstract, so a single bound is entered for each.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade A
applies regardless of the starting value
HbA1chelps. Lowers -0.58 percentage points of HbA1c

confidence interval of the estimate, not the range one person can expect

A network meta-analysis of 158 randomised trials in 17,059 people with type 2 diabetes gives aerobic training an HbA1c reduction of 0.58 percentage points (95 % CrI -0.70 to -0.45). Note how close the modalities are: interval training 0.61, combined 0.58, aerobic 0.58, resistance 0.40, and simply being advised to be active 0.35.

12–12 weekschronicunclear
Evidence grade A
applies regardless of the starting value

What this measure costs

Counteracting effects of the same measure.

No counteracting effect is on file for this measure. That does not mean there is none, only that we found no defensible edge.

Moves without implying progress

Informational or no established effect: the marker moves or was checked, and that is not progress.

MarkerEffectLatencyMode of actionOutcomeEvidenceConditionSources
HDL cholesterolmoves, and does not count. Raises 2.11 mg/dL

confidence interval of the estimate, not the range one person can expect

About +2.1 to +2.5 mg/dL (Smart 2025, Kodama 2007, Lin 2015) at a baseline of 45 mg/dL. Raising HDL is not a treatment goal.

8–20 weekschronicno
Evidence grade A
applies regardless of the starting value
Alanine aminotransferasechecked, nothing happens. No established effect

Across 21 randomised trials in 1530 people, exercise training reduced intrahepatic fat by 3.46 percentage points where the programme workload exceeded 10,000 kcal, but ALT, AST and gamma-GT were not significantly altered. One of the more useful rows in this database.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade B
applies regardless of the starting value
Gamma-glutamyltransferasechecked, nothing happens. No established effect

In the same 21 trials, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase was not significantly altered by exercise training. A deliberate no-effect row.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade B
applies regardless of the starting value
high-sensitivity CRPmoves, and does not count. Lowers Effect size, not in the marker's unit

confidence interval of the estimate, not the range one person can expect

Across 83 controlled trials with 143 effects in 3769 people, exercise training lowered CRP with a mean effect size of 0.26 (95 % CI 0.18 to 0.34). No mg/L figure: the source reports standardised effect sizes only, so this row carries direction and no magnitude.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade B
applies regardless of the starting value
Lipoprotein(a)checked, nothing happens. No established effect

The consensus table of non-genetic influences on Lp(a) lists physical activity as having no or minimal effect, and fasting as having none. A deliberate no-effect row.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade C
applies regardless of the starting value

Sources

Full details of every study the rows above rely on.

  1. Effects of exercise training on blood lipids: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

    Smart et al. · Sports Medicine · 2025 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1007/s40279-024-02115-zPubMed 39331324

  2. Effects of exercise training on apolipoproteins and lipoprotein(a): a systematic review and meta-analysis

    Downes et al. · International Journal of Sports Medicine · 2025 · Review

    DOI 10.1055/a-2580-0722PubMed 40203891

  3. Effect of intensive glucose lowering treatment on all cause mortality, cardiovascular death, and microvascular events in type 2 diabetes: meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

    Boussageon et al. · BMJ · 2011 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1136/bmj.d4169PubMed 21791495

  4. Effect of exercise training on C reactive protein: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised and non-randomised controlled trials

    Fedewa et al. · British Journal of Sports Medicine · 2017 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1136/bjsports-2016-095999PubMed 27445361

  5. Effects of exercise training and physical activity advice on HbA1c in people with type 2 diabetes: a network meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

    Garcia et al. · Diabetes Research and Clinical Practice · 2025 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1016/j.diabres.2025.112027PubMed 39904457

  6. Lipoprotein(a) in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease and aortic stenosis: a European Atherosclerosis Society consensus statement

    Kronenberg et al. · European Heart Journal · 2022 · Guideline

    DOI 10.1093/eurheartj/ehac361PubMed 36036785

  7. Exercise training and resting blood pressure: a large-scale pairwise and network meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials

    Edwards et al. · British Journal of Sports Medicine · 2023 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1136/bjsports-2022-106503PubMed 37491419

  8. Effect of exercise training on liver function in adults who are overweight or exhibit fatty liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

    Smart et al. · British Journal of Sports Medicine · 2018 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1136/bjsports-2016-096197PubMed 27317790

  9. Comparative efficacy of exercise modalities on cardiometabolic risk factors in overweight and obesity: a network meta-analysis

    Wang H et al. · Frontiers in Endocrinology · 2024 · Review

    DOI 10.3389/fendo.2023.1294362PubMed 38288474

  10. Lifestyle interventions for patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: a network meta-analysis

    Zou et al. · European Journal of Gastroenterology & Hepatology · 2018 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1097/MEG.0000000000001135PubMed 29683979