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Cut ultra-processed food

Replace ready meals, sweet drinks and packaged food. Moves inflammatory markers and often weight.

Big LeverEffort: moderate

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Order of magnitude

Cut the share of ultra-processed products in energy intake substantially.

The evidence here is weaker than the popularity of the idea.

Effects in detail

Each row is a directed edge from our database, with range, latency, evidence grade and the condition under which it applies at all.

MarkerEffectLatencyMode of actionOutcomeEvidenceConditionSources
Diastolic blood pressurehelps. Lowers Direction known, size not established

Nine observational studies in 111,594 adults found 23 % higher odds of hypertension at higher ultra-processed food consumption (OR 1.23, 95 % CI 1.11 to 1.37), significant across every subgroup examined. Direction only and grade C. Trial proxy: incident_hypertension. Trial proxy: incident_hypertension.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade C
applies regardless of the starting value
Systolic blood pressurehelps. Lowers Direction known, size not established

Nine observational studies in 111,594 adults found 23 % higher odds of hypertension at higher ultra-processed food consumption (OR 1.23, 95 % CI 1.11 to 1.37), significant across every subgroup examined. Direction only and grade C. Trial proxy: incident_hypertension. Trial proxy: incident_hypertension.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade C
applies regardless of the starting value

What this measure costs

Counteracting effects of the same measure.

No counteracting effect is on file for this measure. That does not mean there is none, only that we found no defensible edge.

Moves without implying progress

Informational or no established effect: the marker moves or was checked, and that is not progress.

MarkerEffectLatencyMode of actionOutcomeEvidenceConditionSources
high-sensitivity CRPmoves, and does not count. Lowers -4.00 %

confidence interval of the estimate, not the range one person can expect

In 2018 adults, every 100 g/day more ultra-processed food went with a 4.0 % higher hs-CRP (95 % CI 2.1 to 5.9). Cross-sectional, so the percentages describe an association and not the effect of removing 100 g/day.

not specifiedchronicunclear
Evidence grade C
applies regardless of the starting value

Sources

Full details of every study the rows above rely on.

  1. Effect of dose and duration of reduction in dietary sodium on blood pressure levels: systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials

    Huang et al. · BMJ · 2020 · Meta-analysis

    DOI 10.1136/bmj.m315PubMed 32094151

  2. Higher Ultra-Processed Food Consumption Is Associated with Greater High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein Concentration in Adults: Cross-Sectional Results from the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study

    Lane et al. · Nutrients · 2022 · Cohort study

    DOI 10.3390/nu14163309PubMed 36014818

  3. Ultra-processed Foods Consumption Increases the Risk of Hypertension in Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

    Wang et al. · American Journal of Hypertension · 2022 · Review

    DOI 10.1093/ajh/hpac069PubMed 35750049